| Schedule |
Activity |
| Week |
Date |
Topic |
Reading |
Media |
Exercise |
Discussion |
| 1 |
Aug 27 |
Introduction to Course
Climate Change
|
Emanuel (1-4) 35p
Complex Systems: Difficulty of Prediction
|
Stella Video 1: Introduction (8:21 mins)
Stella Video 2: Feedbacks (5:14 mins)
Stella Video 3: Model components (6:49 mins)
Stella Video 4: Causal loop diagrams (6:43 mins)
Stella Video 5: System behavior (8:12 mins)
|
|
Discussion Questions for Week 1
|
| 2 |
Sep 3 |
Climate change (continued)
Intro to modeling
|
Emanuel (5-8) 30p
Ford (1) 14p
|
Stella Video 6: First population model (12:18 mins)
Stella Video 7: Second population model (8:25 mins)
Stella Video 8: Sensitivity analysis (10:09 mins)
Stella Video 9: Optimization (5:18 mins)
Stella Video 10: Calibration (10:02 mins)
|
|
Discussion Questions for Week 2
|
| 3 |
Sep 10 |
Framework for societal collapse
Intro to System Dynamics modeling
|
Diamond (Prologue) 25p
Ford (2, 3) 14p, 8p
|
Inconvenient Truth (97 mins)
|
Stella Exercise: Population Growth
Solution
|
Discussion Questions for Week 3
|
| 4 |
Sep 17 |
Case study: Easter Island
SD Basics
|
Diamond (2) Easter Island 42p
Ford (4,6) 8p,12p
|
|
|
Discussion Questions for Week 4
|
| 5 |
Sep 24 |
Case study: The Anasazi
SD Basics
|
Diamond (4) Anasazi 21p
Ford (7, 9) 10p,18p
|
A
Crude Awakening: The Oil Crash (83 mins)
|
Stella Exercise: Logistic Growth
Solution: Q1
Solution: Q2
|
Discussion Questions for Week 5
|
| 6 |
Oct 1 |
Case study: Maya
SD Intermediate modeling
|
Diamond (5) Maya (25p)
Ford (20,21) 12p, 22p
|
|
Stella Exercise: Predator Prey model
Solution: Predator Prey
|
Discussion Questions for Week 6
|
| 7 |
Oct 8 |
Case study: Vikings part 1
Homeostasis
|
Diamond (6) Viking Prelude 33p
Ford (10,11,23)
|
Seaspiriacy (89 mins)
|
|
Discussion Questions for Week 7
|
| 8 |
Oct 15 |
Case study: Vikings part 2
Introduction to Systems Thinking
|
Diamond (7) Greenland's Flowering 37p
Meadows (Introduction, 1) 10p, 24p
|
|
Stella Exercise: Simple Collapse Model
Solution: Simple Collapse Model
|
Discussion Questions for Week 8
|
| 9 |
Oct 22 |
Case study: Vikings part 3
Systems examples
|
Diamond (8) Greenland's End 29p
Meadows (2) 40p
|
Don't look up (138 mins)
|
Stella Exercise: Modifying the collapse model
Solution: Modified Collapse Model
|
Discussion Questions for Week 9
|
| 10 |
Oct 29 |
Governance
Why systems work
|
Diamond (9) Opposite Paths 32p
Meadows (3) 12p
|
Reading: Smithsonian
Reading: Science
|
Stella Exercise: Climate Model
Data file for model
Solution: Climate Model
|
Discussion Questions for Week 10
|
| 11 |
Nov 5 |
Case study: Rwanda
Systems and surprises
|
Diamond (10) Rwanda 18p
Meadows (4) 24p
|
Planet of the Humans (100 mins)
|
Final Project: Easter Island model
Reading: Easter Island: Bologna & Flores
Reading: Easter Island: Brander & Taylor
|
Discussion Questions for Week 11
|
| 12 |
Nov 12 |
Case study: Hispanola
System traps
|
Diamond (11) One Island, Two Peoples (Hispaniola) 29p
Meadows (5) System traps 33p
|
|
Stella project time
|
Discussion Questions for Week 12
|
| 13 |
Nov 19 |
Human behavior
Leverage Points
|
Diamond (14) Decisions 22p
Meadows (6) Leverage Points 21p
|
Podcast: Putting people into climate models: A new frontier (41 mins)
|
Stella project time
|
Discussion Questions for Week 13
|
|
Nov 26 |
Thanksgiving Break |
| 14 |
Dec 3 |
Environmental challenges
A World of Systems
|
Diamond (16) The World 40p
Meadows (7) World of Systems 21p
|
Reading: Limits to economic growth
|
Stella project time
|
Discussion Questions for Week 14
|