SU: Complexity, climate change and human systems
HCOL 185 OL1 (3 credits)
Fall 2022 Tuesday/Thursday 11:40-12:55 pm (Eastern US) (online)
Instructor: Brian Beckage (Brian.Beckage@uvm.edu)
Office Hours (remote by appointment)
The Earth is a complex coupled human-natural system that is increasingly
dominated by human activities. We will examine anthropogenic climate
change as part of an integrated earth system that includes impacts on and
feedbacks with human systems. We will consider the challenges and
interactions between climate change and human societies by considering
responses of current and past societies to climate change and
environmental degradation. We will place anthropogenic climate change in
the broader context of limits to growth, sustainability, and societal
development. The class will emphasize readings, discussions, and
construction of simple simulation models to understand the scientific and
social basis of contemporary climate and sustainability. Students will use
the graphical computer programming language Stella to develop a simplified
model of the Earth system.
Class Structure. This will be a reading-intensive, seminar-style course consisting of readings,
discussions and exercises rather than lectures. Class will meet twice a week for 75 minutes. The class will
consist of the following components:
- Readings. This will be a reading intensive course with reading assigned for most class meetings.
The readings will primarily be from course books but will also include
assigned articles.
- Discussions. There will be an online discussion of the readings in Yellowdig. The discussions
will be centered around a set of assigned questions. We will use class time to
address any outstanding questions from the assigned readings or online discussion.
- Media. There will be assorted documentaries or other videsos that we
will watch over the course of the semester.
- Modeling. Students will work on assigned exercises and a modeling project to
learn system dynamics approaches to modeling using the graphical programing language Stella.
We will use class time to address any modeling and programming questions from the assigned exercises.
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- To have an understanding of the physical basis of climate change.
- To use this knowledge to contextualize the responses of current and past
societies to climate change and environmental degradation.
- To employ a system dynamics modeling framework to synthesize climate change and resource use
within the limitations of the Earth system
Achieving these goals will require:
- Completion of assigned readings and exercises
- Participation in discussions
- Writing and synthesis of assigned readings and media
- Familiarity with the computer language Stella.
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Student grades will be based on the following four components:
- Weekly (quizzes) based on assigned readings and media. (20% of final grade).
- Homework assignments. These will be a series of modeling exercises and
assignments in Stella. (15% of final grade).
- Student participation in online Yellowdig discussion. Students are expected to
fully participate in and contribute to online discussions.
(20% of final grade)
- A
class presentation summarizing the weekly Yellowdig discussion in the context of the assigned reading and media.
(5% of final grade)
-
A modeling project on the coupled natural and human system. Students will implement a
model from an assigned research paper, add a feature to the model, make a presnetation and write a report describing
the model and the resultant dynamics. (20% of final grade).
- Comprehensive final exam. (20% of final grade)
Late assignments will be assessed a 10% penalty for each day late.
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These books will be required for this class and are available in the
university bookstore:
- Emanuel, K., 2018. What we know about climate change. MIT Press. ISBN:
9780262535915 Link
to book.
- Meadows, D.H., 2008. Thinking in systems: A primer. Chelsea Green
Publishing. ISBN: 9781603580557. Link to book on Amazon.
- Jared M. Diamond. 2011. Collapse : how societies choose to fail or
succeed: Revised edition. Penguin. 608p. ISBN-10: 0143117009; ISBN-13:
978-0143117001 Link
to book.
We will watch a variety of documentaries, video lectures, and podcasts. I try to find free sources of these media,
but you may have to rent, purchase, or find them through a subscription service (e.g., Amazon Prime, Netflix,
Apple TV, etc.). These media include the following:
- An
Inconvenient Truth (97 mins)
-
The Great Global Warming Swindle (74 mins)
- A
Crude Awakening: The Oil Crash (83 mins)
-
Seaspiriacy (89 mins)
-
Planet of the Humans (100 mins)
- Don't look up (138 mins)
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We will build system
dynamics models in the graphical programming language Stella created
by
ISEE Systems. This will require a semester student license for the
Stella software at a cost of $59 for a semester license. You should receive an email
from ISEE with instructions for purchasing and accessing Stella.